Why don't the British like Americans
Trump and Brexit : Brits and Americans like change more than we do
If the Germans were allowed to have a say in votes in Great Britain and the USA, Brexit would not be an option. And Donald Trump would have no chance of moving into the White House. In recent polls, 79 percent of Germans want the British to stay in the EU. However, the supporters of both the left and the right are noticeably less pro-European than the forces in the center. 89 percent of the CDU / CSU voters want to keep the British. 86 percent of the SPD and the Greens want that. On the left it is around 20 percentage points less, 69 percent; at the AfD even only 56 percent.
So are the Germans a voice of common sense that could save the international community some worries if left alone? So far, they have been less susceptible to national populist seducers than the French, Austrians or Swedes. The proportion of German citizens who want to leave the EU was already higher than the current 13 percent - in May it was 34 percent - but the number is lower than in France or Italy.
Would Tories or Labor dare a partisan access to the BBC?
As seductive as the mind game may be for the good conscience of Germans: Of course, they are not allowed to vote abroad. In addition, they are not in the shoes of the British, Americans or French. No one can say for sure how they would vote if they could see the world through their eyes.
So it is only a hope that the German interest in staying with the British has to do with good arguments. An EU without them would be less liberal and have less weight. As a seafaring nation, they are advocates of a free economy and free trade. Your exit would shift the balance in the EU towards member states with a high share of the state economy.
Europe's foreign and security policy would be weaker without the British, their diplomatic network in the Commonwealth and their military. They are steadfast, defend Western values against Russia and China, show preparedness when allies are threatened, like Poland and the Balts now through Moscow. Although they are a quarter weaker than Germany in terms of population and economic strength, they offer just as much when the EU, NATO or the UN ask for military contributions. Often their units can be used more flexibly. Your fair play is a role model for Europe. Would Tories or Labor dare to have partisan access to the BBC, as happens in Poland with public broadcasting and at least to some extent in Germany too?
The British's extra wishes are sometimes annoying: Liberation from the goal of progressive integration, from the euro, from free travel in the Schengen area. But this anger is apparently not decisive for Germans. And neither is the fear of economic damage from a Brexit.
The Germans also associate ideal motives with the EU
The British also have advantages from the EU. Wealthier, safer, stronger - this is how the pro-Europeans advertise. Without free access to the common market, household incomes would be lower. Cooperation in the EU makes it easier to ward off terror and organized crime. In the EU, Great Britain has more international weight than a solo nation-state.
Why are the polls so scarce before the referendum? Brits and Americans have different attitudes towards upheaval. In voter surveys in the US one can often hear: Trump is no better as a person than the hated political class. But at least he breaks the power of the establishment. Then see what happens next. “Disruption” is considered a value in itself. The Germans fear disruptive change. Anglo-Saxons associate upheaval with the hope that things can be better afterwards.
Citizens' surveys on Brexit show similar differences in mentality. Germans also associate ideal motives with the EU. For many older people, Europe is a question of war and peace; For many younger people, supranational integration is better than what they consider to be the backward nation-state. The British mostly see the EU as having no idealistic added value. You ask soberly: What do we gain and what do we lose? The EU does not seem like a solution to the migration crisis; you see them more in their island location. In the face of such doubts, the economic advantage of the EU becomes less important. The generation question in Great Britain: the elderly are more in favor of leaving, the younger ones more in favor of staying. The outcome could depend on whether the boys vote.
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